This past year, rising mortgage rates have slowed the red-hot housing market. Over the past nine months, we’ve seen fewer homes sold than the previous month as home price growth has slowed. This is due to the fact that the average 30-year fixed rate mortgage r has doubled this year, putting the breaks on escalating prices.
This was the goal of the Federal Reserve when it raised rates: to cool down the market.
This month, the average rate for financing a home briefly rose over 7% before coming back down into the 6% range. But we’re starting to see a hint of what mortgage interest rates could look like next year.
Inflation Is the Enemy of Long-Term Interest Rates
As long as inflation is high, we’ll see higher mortgage rates. Over the past couple of weeks, we’ve seen indications that inflation may be cooling, giving us a glimpse into what may happen in the future. The mortgage market is eagerly awaiting positive news on inflation. As Ali Wolf, Chief Economist at Zonda, says: “We are watching for any additional stability in the MBs market, signs of cooling inflation, and/or less aggressive Federal Reserve action to give us confidence that mortgage rates are past their peak.”
What Does This Mean for the Future of Mortgage Rates?
As we get through the inflation battle and start to see that coming down, we should expect mortgage rates to follow. We’ve seen nods of this over the past couple of weeks. As the Federal Reserve works to bring inflation down, mortgage rates will come down as well. Bill McBride from Calculated Risk says: “My current view is inflation will ease quicker than the Fed currently expects.”
Not every mortgage lender is the same. They offer different options and different rates. For example, local banks that have their own portfolios and don’t sell their mortgages to investors have different financing opportunities when compared to mortgage finance companies that do sell their mortgages. So, it’s important to shop around.
As a buyer, it’s a questionable strategy to sit on the sidelines waiting for your magic number when it comes to interest rates. We know for sure that the chances of seeing rates of 3% or less are almost non-existent. Consider meeting with your financial advisor or lender and determine what the impact of rates in the 4% to 6% rate range, can have on your personal financial situation. You could miss out on the home you really want while waiting for a rate that will never be available.
And remember: mortgages can be re-financed to lower rates.
If you don’t have a working relationship with a lender, we can recommend several who we work with on a regular basis. Please contact us at 508-360-5664 or email@example.com. With inventory increasing every day, be in the position to make your move when you find your next home.
We were happy to host our Third Annual Thanksgiving Pie Party last Tuesday at JD’s Burgers and Sushi in Sandwich. More than 70 of our client-friends turned out to re-connect with people they met last year and make new acquaintances.
We donated the pies that were not taken to the Sandwich Food Pantry, which reminds us that tomorrow is Giving Tuesday. Please take a moment to support a charity or non-profit that is close to your heart. Thanks…
Mari and Hank